Cleeve hurdle betting advice
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RUN LINE BETTING STRATEGY
He was given a day break before making an encouraging reappearance behind Thyme Hill at Newbury. It looked as though that form would be confirmed at Ascot by Aidan Coleman produced Paisley Park with a late run to beat Thyme Hill by a neck. The third horse that day was Roksana who coasted to victory in a Grade 2 at Ascot last Saturday. The Ascot form looks the best in the staying division this season and Paisley Park is confidently expected to take another step towards the Festival.
His main market rival is Itchy Feet, reverting to hurdles after some decent efforts over fences. He has been placed in all three races over fences this season and it will be interesting to see how he adapts to the smaller obstacles. Main Fact Aiming To Return To Winning Ways together an unbeaten run of nine races on the flat and over hurdles, rising a staggering 43lbs in the handicap.
His win in a valuable handicap at Haydock in November earned him a tilt at Grade 1 company but he was never a factor behind Paisley Park at Ascot. Midnight Shadow has won his last two. Both horses are highly progressive, but neither is rock solid. Also, Sam Spinner unseated at the second flight, and Unowhatimeanharry fell at the eighth. But he is probably going to have to progress again if he is going to win the Cleeve Hurdle, and he is short enough in the market.
Midnight Shadow is also progressing nicely, and he was very good in beating Wholestone and Old Guard in the Relkeel Hurdle. However, that was over two and a half miles. He still has to prove his stamina for three. Black Op is the current favourite of the Cleeve Hurdle.
He may well get the trip, and his running style is not a negative in that regard. But he is out of Holy Smoke, who never went beyond 10 furlongs, and she is by Statoblest, a sprinter. The step up to three miles may allow Wholestone reverse Relkeel Hurdle placings with Midnight Shadow. Three miles on good to soft ground could represent close to optimal conditions for him.
Or two and a half miles on heavy. He does not have the fashionable, progressive profile that Midnight Shadow and Paisley Park have, but he is not old, he is only eight, just a year older than Paisley Park, and he is a high-class staying hurdler who goes well at Cheltenham.
His record at Prestbury Park now reads Sam Spinner is not old either. This season has not gone well so far for the Black Sam Bellamy gelding.
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